How Much Can You Totally Screw Up and Still Be Successful?

Alfred P. Sloan

“If you do it right 51 percent of the time you will end up a hero.” – Alfred P. Sloan, Born May 23, 1875.

I want you to know how low the bar is set. It's set so low that primarily what it takes to succeed is basically just persistence.

Whether by discipline, or by desire, or by willpower, or by mental illness, or by being driven, or by being compelled – it doesn't matter.

Just do a thing a bunch of times, and you will not only succeed – you'll likely even be recognized as a success.


What people recognize and remember is effort and action and repetition. Outcomes and results are not nearly as sticky in their mind. So if fear of public failure is preventing you from taking action, stop letting it.

The thing is, to determine if you're doing anything right at least 51% of the time, you should do it at least 100 times. You can fuck up for 49 of those tries.

After 100 tries, evaluate. How did you do? Probably even better than 51%. Just because by human nature, if you do something again and again, you literally cannot help but get better at it. Your body and mind are evolved to do this. It's pure biological adaptability.

Do something 100 times – in our case that would be not just writing, but publishing. Put 100 pieces out there. Don't just hit post, but share them. Spread them. Bother people with them. Chances are, you'll be a hero.

Using just 100 tries, if you work a little every day, that's three whole chances to be a hero per year, plus a little extra.

Being the hero is the big win – and you could have three per year! And still fuck up almost half the time!

It's not hard. But it takes something very simple that many people just do not have, or are unwilling to do despite not having it: the ability to show up and work every day, over and over, even if you're fucking up and getting no result yet.

And I've been there. I didn't get my shit together until my 30s and I'm still not great at it. It can be super discouraging to do something even 10 times and not succeed. But now that you know the numbers (even these arbitrary ones) you know you can fuck up a whole lot more than 10 times and still succeed.

Are you failing enough? Are you trying enough? How many days in a row have you given your time and sweat to your dreams? If it's not at least 100 before quitting, fuck you. You're not even trying.

And here is the harsh truth – you're not worth helping if you're not even trying.

2 thoughts on “How Much Can You Totally Screw Up and Still Be Successful?”

  1. Such great advice, and in line with something that came to me as a good idea recently.

    Each day I have a Morning Quiet Time that helps center me, including all types of helpful readings and journaling.

    Out of nowhere, I had this question pop into my mind: why have I never read the Bible straight through start to finish?

    So I looked up how many Bible chapters (1189) and divided by 365 days in a year (1189/365 = 3.26 years, or 3 full years plus 95 days).

    So I thought: how hard is that? I will read a Chapter a Day!

    Tomorrow is day 49 and I’m hooked, loving every story and lesson, and looking forward to 3 years and 46 days more! I

    t doesn’t take much to engage the whole self in positive action.

  2. Easily one of the most pragmatic pieces I can remember reading.

    It's def hard to not get the short term dopamine crackhead hits when stuff just doesn't seem to be resonating with anyone, but hot damn when it does pay off…

    But if you can just win 1 out of a 100 tries, with zero serious detriment for the other 99, why not just keep trying?

    Totally agree with this and, as always thanks for being one of my inspirations.

    Looking forward to hopefully grabbin' another beer with ya one of these days.

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